Discussion
So its now night time in Bahrain and the Iranian drones are NOT letting up.
It's going to take time to review these more carefully.
A thing to know about the US Navy in Bahrain is that they don't have on base housing.
This means basically the most hated military target in one of the most critical locations disperses it's military force among the civilian populace ON purpose to make them hard to target without harming civilians.
I suspect we're seeing Iran taking that gamble.
The Iranian missile strikes are ALSO unrelenting in Bahrain tonight.
They have continued to hit the US military base with missiles.
There's growing chatter of a full blown US air defense failure in multiple countries right now. Again, going to take time to understand as an OSINT nerd but this seems like US AD is overwhelmed.
They may still be making a lot of intercepts when you understand the volume of fire coming from Iran ...
And that's the rub.
If this is an air war, the US is "supposed" to dominate.
Earlier in the day US missiles were seen pounding Iran's mountain missile bases and various storage facilities.
The fact Iran's making strikes tonight means there's NO meaningful impact to Iran's offensive capabilities.
Again, it's likely some AD is still working in and near Bahrain and we're only seeing the 10% or whatever rate of missiles and drones that make it through.
Iran's still operating as normal I think
Qatar is also suffering notable air defense failures.
This video is VERY interesting. In it we see an Iranian ballistical missile just plain out maneuvering TWO missile intercepters and scoring a direct hit on a US base. Likely further degrading their air defense capabilities.
That last interceptor in-particular was just late as fuck. This looked like a severe speed over-match or something.
Iran is UNRELENTING tonight.
What's that buzz?
Oh just ANOTHER $30k Iranian drone striking the US Navy HQ in Bahrain unopposed.
I see my Black friends waking up to the Iran news rn.
Pretty much universal take at the moment.
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